PolymarketVerificar disponibilidadeSem KYC2% de taxaDados de resolução verificadosBem calibradoProbabilidade implícita atual
December 31 18%Líder entre 3 opções
Qualidade do mercado
62 / 100
Qualidade médiaVolume 24h
1,6 mil €
Liquidez
18,1 mil €
Liquidez médiaSpread
3.0 pt
Spread moderadoComentários
0
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 7 minutos
16/09/26, 23:52 UTC1/01/27, 04:59 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
Ren Zhengfei public appearance by which date?
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KalshiRegras
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is confirmed that Ren Zhengfei was outside China at any point between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- Both the presence outside China and its confirmation must occur between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
- A presence outside China occurring prior to market creation will not qualify, regardless of when it is confirmed.
- Ren Zhengfei need not depart China during the market window, nor remain outside China at the time of confirmation.
- If he was already outside China at market creation, his confirmed presence outside China during the window will qualify; likewise, a confirmed presence during the window will qualify even if he has since returned to China.
Mercados abertos
ChinaKALSHIBangladesh vs China
- Bangladesh-47.0pt50.5%
- China+46.0pt49.5%
- Volume total
- € 180,8 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 167,4 mil
POLYMARKETWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
- No-0.1pt96%
- Yes+0.1pt4%
- Volume total
- € 36,4 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 152,7 mil
POLYMARKETXi Jinping out before 2027?
- No+0.2pt96%
- Yes-0.2pt4%
- Volume total
- € 11,7 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 103,3 mil
POLYMARKETWill Xi Jinping visit US by which date?
- October 31+0.8pt96%
- December 31+1.6pt96%
- September 30+0.3pt95%
+3 mais resultados
POLYMARKETBest Chinese AI Company end of September?
- Alibaba-3.5pt84.6%
- Moonshot+4.7pt10.6%
- Z.ai+0.3pt1.9%
+8 mais resultados
KALSHIWill Xi Jinping visit the United States?
- Before Oct 1, 2026-2.0pt92%
- Before Nov 1, 2026-7.0pt90%
- Volume total
- € 178,5 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 50,1 mil
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Ren Zhengfei confirmed outside China by which date??
- A Polymarket cota December 31 em 18% em 17 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Ren Zhengfei confirmed outside China by which date? é resolvido?
- Ren Zhengfei confirmed outside China by which date? deverá ser resolvido em 1 de janeiro de 2027.
- Como Ren Zhengfei confirmed outside China by which date? é liquidado?
- A Polymarket liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is confirmed that Ren Zhengfei was outside China at any point between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.