PolymarketVerificar disponibilidadeSem KYC2% de taxaDados de resolução verificadosBem calibradoProbabilidade implícita atual
Republican Party 57%+16.0pt
Qualidade do mercado
31 / 100
Baixa qualidadeVolume 24h
205,3 €
Liquidez
775,5 €
Baixa liquidezCompra / Venda
17.0% / 37.0%
Spread
20.0 pt
Spread amploComentários
0
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 4 minutos
10/09/26, 18:03 UTC4/11/26, 04:59 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
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Manifold Markets2026 US Senate Election: will the party of the winner of this state's senate seat go on to win senate control?
Manifold MarketsWho will win the 2026 election for California's 32nd State Senate district
Manifold MarketsRegras
This market will resolve according to the party that wins control of the Pennsylvania State Senate in the 2026 Pennsylvania midterm election.
- A party wins control of the Pennsylvania Senate if it wins a majority of the chamber’s voting seats.
- If no party wins a majority of voting seats, the party that wins control of the chamber is the party that wins half of the voting seats and holds the Lieutenant Governor's Office as a result of the election.
- If the outcome remains ambiguous after applying the above criteria, the chamber will be deemed controlled by the party with which the first selected President Pro Tempore of the State Senate that convenes after the specified election is affiliated.
- If no such President Pro Tempore is chosen by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
- The following rules govern the counting of seats for determining which party wins control of the chamber.
Comparação de fontes de previsão
2 plataformas cotam atualmente este mercado. A probabilidade de referência ponderada pela liquidez da CoinRithm para Republican Party é de 54%. As cotações diferem cerca de 6 pontos percentuais entre as plataformas mais afastadas.
Referencia CoinRithm Republican Party 54% · 2 plataformas · 6 pt de dispersao entre venues
- Também disponível em Kalshi — Pennsylvania State Senate winner? · Republican party 54%
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Pennsylvania State Senate Winner 2026??
- A Polymarket cota Republican Party em 57% em 12 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Pennsylvania State Senate Winner 2026? é resolvido?
- Pennsylvania State Senate Winner 2026? deverá ser resolvido em 4 de novembro de 2026.
- Como Pennsylvania State Senate Winner 2026? é liquidado?
- A Polymarket liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: This market will resolve according to the party that wins control of the Pennsylvania State Senate in the 2026 Pennsylvania midterm election.
- Onde mais Pennsylvania State Senate Winner 2026? está listado?
- A mesma pergunta também está listada em Kalshi.