PolymarketVerificar disponibilidadeSem KYC2% de taxaDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoProbabilidade implícita atualDemocratic Party 96.9%-0.3ptLíder entre 8 opções
Qualidade do mercado
49 / 100
Baixa qualidadeVolume 24h
0 €
Liquidez
24 mil €
Alta liquidezCompra / Venda
2.6% / 2.9%
Spread
0.3 pt
Spread apertadoVariação 7d
-2.8 pts
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 20 minutos
28/01/26, 21:443/11/26, 0:00
Tendências
0%
0%
0%
0%
Apenas fundos simulados, sem dinheiro realIsto não é aconselhamento financeiro
Resultado escolhido
Democratic Party95%
Comparar plataformas· Democratic Party
Classificado por qualidade de mercado, depois liquidez e volume de 24h| Plataforma | Qualidade | Probabilidade | vs. referência | Volume 24h | Liquidez | Atualização | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PolymarketEsta páginaMelhor no geral | Baixa | 95% | — | 0 € | 24 mil € | há 20 minutos | |
 Kalshi60% de correspondência · verificado | Baixa | 97% | — | 0 € | 219 € | há 20 minutos | Abrir → |
Também disponível em Kalshi
NY-15 House winner?
1a
97%
3%
49 • Baixa qualidadeSpread moderadoBaixa liquidezMercado raso
Volume total219,9 €
Volume 24h0 €
KALSHIRegras
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-15 congressional district seat in the U.S.
- House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections.
- The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
- A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
- A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
- This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting.
Os dados de comparação são apenas informativos. Preços e liquidez podem variar.
Grandes negociações
$1.3k94.3%POLYMARKETWill the Democratic Party win the NY-15 House seat? — Yes123905há 4 dias
POLYMARKETWill the Democratic Party win the NY-15 House seat? — Yes123905há 4 diasTendência de volume
$503 de jul.19d de dados27 de jul.
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This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-15 congressional district seat in the U.S.
- House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections.
- The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
- A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
- A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
- This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting.