PolymarketVerificar disponibilidadeSem KYC2% de taxaDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoProbabilidade implícita atualRepublican Party 65%Líder entre 8 opções
Qualidade do mercado
71 / 100
Qualidade médiaVolume 24h
14 €
Liquidez
17,3 mil €
Liquidez médiaCompra / Venda
64.0% / 65.0%
Spread
1.6%
Spread apertadoVariação 7d
-0.5%
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 6 minutos
28/01/26, 21:433/11/26, 0:00
Tendências
0%
0%
0%
0%
Apenas fundos simulados, sem dinheiro realIsto não é aconselhamento financeiro
Resultado escolhido
Republican Party65%
Comparar plataformas· Republican Party
Classificado por qualidade de mercado, depois liquidez e volume de 24h| Plataforma | Qualidade | Probabilidade | vs. referência | Volume 24h | Liquidez | Atualização | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PolymarketEsta páginaMelhor no geral | Média | 65% | — | 14 € | 17,3 mil € | há 6 minutos | |
 KalshiMais ativa60% de correspondência · verificado | Média | 63% | — | 77,8 € | 6,3 mil € | há 1 minuto | Abrir → |
Também disponível em Kalshi
NY-01 House winner?
3.0%1a
-3.0%63%
34%
60 • Qualidade médiaSpread moderadoLiquidez médiaAlta ambiguidade
Volume total13,9 mil €
Volume 24h77,8 €
KALSHIRegras
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-01 congressional district seat in the U.S.
- House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections.
- The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
- A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
- A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
- This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting.
Os dados de comparação são apenas informativos. Preços e liquidez podem variar.
Tendência de volume
$162 de jul.9d de dados10 de jul.
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This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-01 congressional district seat in the U.S.
- House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections.
- The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
- A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
- A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
- This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting.