Probabilidade implícita atual
No Next Chancellor before 2028 54%+3.5ptLíder entre 13 opções
Qualidade do mercado
73 / 100
Qualidade médiaVolume 24h
3,7 mil €
Liquidez
116,3 mil €
Alta liquidezSpread
1.0 pt
Spread apertadoComentários
1
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 8 minutos
15/09/26, 21:29 UTC1/01/28, 04:59 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
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PolymarketRegras
Friedrich Merz has served as Chancellor of Germany since May 6, 2025.
- This market will resolve to the next individual, other than Friedrich Merz, who assumes the office of Chancellor of Germany.
- To count for resolution, the individual must be elected Chancellor by the Bundestag and appointed by the Federal President.
- Any acting or caretaker Chancellor will not count toward the resolution of this market.
- If no such Chancellor takes office, or if Friedrich Merz is the next individual elected Chancellor, by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “the named outcome”.
- The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Bundestag and the Federal Government of Germany; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.