PolymarketVerificar disponibilidadeSem KYC2% de taxaDados de resolução verificadosBem calibradoProbabilidade implícita atual
6M-6.5M 39.3%+24.0ptLíder entre 7 opçõesAjustado pela margem: as cotações brutas somavam mais de 100% e foram normalizadas.
Qualidade do mercado
67 / 100
Qualidade médiaVolume 24h
1 mil €
Liquidez
18,8 mil €
Liquidez médiaSpread
0.8 pt
Spread apertadoComentários
0
Variação 7d
-35.0 pts
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 14 minutos
18/08/26, 14:23 UTC3/11/26, 12:00 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
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Manifold MarketsRegras
This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of New York.
- If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
- If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
- All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included.
- Invalidated or blank votes are not included.
- In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
Comparação de fontes de previsão
Mercados abertos
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de New York Governor Election: Turnout?
- A Polymarket cota 6M-6.5M em 39% em 10 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando New York Governor Election: Turnout é resolvido?
- New York Governor Election: Turnout deverá ser resolvido em 3 de novembro de 2026.
- Como New York Governor Election: Turnout é liquidado?
- A Polymarket liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of New York.
- Onde mais New York Governor Election: Turnout está listado?
- A mesma pergunta também está listada em Kalshi.