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  • Início
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  1. Mercados de Previsão
  2. IA
  3. New Gemini reasoning flagship released by...?
New Gemini reasoning flagship released by...?

New Gemini reasoning flagship released by...?

1.6% (24h)IAOne-Off17d
PolymarketPolymarketVerificar disponibilidadeSem KYC2% de taxa
Probabilidade implícita atual
June 30
June 30 92%+0.4%
Líder entre 7 opções
Qualidade do mercado

52 / 100

Qualidade média
Volume 24h

1,8 mil €

Liquidez

14,6 mil €

Liquidez média
Compra / Venda

0.3% / 3.9%

Spread

1200.0%

Spread amplo
Variação 7d

-13.9%

Dados do mercado

Atualizado há 3 minutos

30/04/26, 0:1430/06/26, 0:00

Tendências

Resultado24hProbabilidade
May 31
May 31
0%
May 8
May 8
0%
May 22
May 22
0%

Resultado escolhido

June 3092%

Regras

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Google releases or makes available a new Gemini reasoning flagship model to the general public by the specified date (ET).

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
  • Qualifying models must be positioned by Google as a next-generation, reasoning-focused flagship within the Gemini model line.
  • For example, qualifying models include newly released or newly made generally available (GA) reasoning-focused flagship models (e.g, Gemini 3.1 GA), or any new Pro, Deep Think, or Ultra variants (e.g., Gemini 3.2 Pro, Gemini 3.4 Deep Think, Gemini 4 Ultra).
  • Models explicitly positioned for speed, efficiency, or low-cost inference that compromise reasoning capability will NOT qualify.
  • This includes, but is not limited to, variants such as Gemini Flash, Flash-lite, Nano, or similar lightweight or latency-optimized models, even if released under a new Gemini version number.

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Ativos nestes tópicos

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Notícias Relacionadas

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Regras

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Google releases or makes available a new Gemini reasoning flagship model to the general public by the specified date (ET).

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
  • Qualifying models must be positioned by Google as a next-generation, reasoning-focused flagship within the Gemini model line.
  • For example, qualifying models include newly released or newly made generally available (GA) reasoning-focused flagship models (e.g, Gemini 3.1 GA), or any new Pro, Deep Think, or Ultra variants (e.g., Gemini 3.2 Pro, Gemini 3.4 Deep Think, Gemini 4 Ultra).
  • Models explicitly positioned for speed, efficiency, or low-cost inference that compromise reasoning capability will NOT qualify.
  • This includes, but is not limited to, variants such as Gemini Flash, Flash-lite, Nano, or similar lightweight or latency-optimized models, even if released under a new Gemini version number.