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  3. Megaquake by June 30?
Megaquake by June 30?

Megaquake by June 30?

1.0% (24h)One-OffCiência18d
PolymarketPolymarketVerificar disponibilidadeSem KYC2% de taxa
Probabilidade implícita atual
Sim
Sim 7%-0.0%
Qualidade do mercado

44 / 100

Baixa qualidade
Volume 24h

6,4 €

Liquidez

5,5 mil €

Liquidez média
Compra / Venda

6.0% / 7.0%

Spread

16.7%

Spread amplo
Dados do mercado

Atualizado há 5 minutos

29/12/25, 23:0730/06/26, 0:00

Tendências

Resultado24hProbabilidade

Resultado escolhido

Yes7%

Regras

A "megaquake" is defined as an earthquake with a magnitude of 8.0 or greater.

Polymarket
  • This market will resolve to “Yes” if 1 or more earthquakes with a magnitude of 8.0 or higher occur anywhere on Earth between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
  • The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef).
  • If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until the end of the seventh day after the resolution time, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source.
  • If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.

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Ativos nestes tópicos

BitcoinBTC$62,867.10+2.52%EthereumETH$1,658.07+1.88%SolanaSOL$65.28+1.86%DogecoinDOGE$0.085+1.73%XRPXRP$1.12+0.74%BNBBNB$596.82+1.84%

Notícias Relacionadas

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Regras

A "megaquake" is defined as an earthquake with a magnitude of 8.0 or greater.

Polymarket
  • This market will resolve to “Yes” if 1 or more earthquakes with a magnitude of 8.0 or higher occur anywhere on Earth between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
  • The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef).
  • If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until the end of the seventh day after the resolution time, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source.
  • If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.