PolymarketFechadoVerificar disponibilidadeSem KYC2% de taxaDados de resolução verificadosBem calibradoEste mercado foi resolvido: Very Strong Typhoon
Resolvido: 1 de set. de 2026, 11:21
Resolução verificada pelo provedor
A CoinRithm tem evidência do provedor para o vencedor e o horário de liquidação deste mercado.
Aviso de qualidade dos dadosDados desatualizados
Dados de 1 de set. de 2026, 11:20 UTC · política pm-quality-3
Probabilidade implícita atual
Very Strong Typhoon 100%+0.4ptLíder entre 5 opções
Qualidade do mercado
≤49 / 100
Baixa qualidadeVolume 24h
211,1 €
Liquidez
86,3 mil €
Alta liquidezSpread
0.1 pt
Spread apertadoComentários
0
Variação 7d
+1.9 pts
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 11 dias
Desatualizado20/08/26, 15:12 UTC1/09/26, 03:59 UTC
Linha do Tempo de Probabilidade
Very Strong Typhoon100%
Severe Tropical Storm0%
Violent Typhoon0%
Typhoon0%
100%
0%
0%
0%
0%
Regras
This market resolves based on the maximum intensity that the named outcome Saudel (JMA designation T2618) reaches at any point on or before 11:59 PM ET on August 31, 2026, using the Japan Meteorological Agency's (JMA) advisories (https://www.jma.go.jp/bosai/map.html#contents=typhoon&lang=en).
- Resolution is by wind speed: take the highest 10-minute maximum sustained wind speed JMA reports for Saudel in any single advisory during its lifetime, and the market for the one category whose range contains that value resolves "Yes." The categories are defined solely by these inclusive knot ranges: the named outcome (34-47 kt), the named outcome (48-63 kt), Typhoon (64-84 kt), the named outcome (85-104 kt), and the named outcome (105 kt or higher).
- These names label the wind-speed ranges; JMA's own strength wording need not appear in an advisory for a category to resolve.
- The peak must occur on or before the deadline, though the confirming JMA data may be published later.
- Saudel is already a the named outcome, so its peak is at least "the named outcome".
- The wind speed in JMA's issued advisories is final and is not changed by any later reclassification or post-season best-track reanalysis.
