Probabilidade implícita atual
15%+ 85.4%+5.0ptLíder entre 7 opções
Qualidade do mercado
50 / 100
Qualidade médiaVolume 24h
137,1 €
Liquidez
43,6 mil €
Alta liquidezCompra / Venda
83.0% / 92.0%
Spread
9.0 pt
Spread amploVariação 7d
+24.0 pts
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 22 minutos
4/07/26, 0:5730/07/26, 23:59
Tendências
Apenas fundos simulados, sem dinheiro realIsto não é aconselhamento financeiro
Resultado escolhido
15%+88%
Tendência de volume
$1564 de jul.25d de dados28 de jul.
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The 2026 Greater Manchester mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on July 30, 2026.
- This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the final round of the 2026 Greater Manchester mayoral election.
- The final round will be the first round if a candidate wins outright, or the runoff if no candidate wins outright.
- For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates.
- Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
- If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.