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  • Início
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  1. Mercados de Previsão
  2. Central Banks
  3. ECB Interest Rates: July 2026
ECB Interest Rates: July 2026

ECB Interest Rates: July 2026

14.0% (24h)One-OffCentral Banks1m
PolymarketPolymarketVerificar disponibilidadeSem KYC2% de taxa
Probabilidade implícita atual
No change
No change 75%-16.0%
Líder entre 5 opções
Qualidade do mercado

73 / 100

Qualidade média
Volume 24h

6,2 mil €

Liquidez

47,7 mil €

Alta liquidez
Compra / Venda

18.0% / 24.0%

Spread

33.3%

Spread amplo
Variação 7d

+1.5%

Dados do mercado

Atualizado há 4 minutos

30/04/26, 18:3223/07/26, 0:00

Tendências

Resultado24hProbabilidade
50+ bps increase
50+ bps increase
0%
25 bps decrease
25 bps decrease
0%

Resultado escolhido

No change75%

Regras

This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the deposit facility rate resulting from the July 2026 meeting of the European Central Bank, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.

Polymarket
  • The resolution source will be official information from the European Central Bank, including the statement or release from its July 2026 meeting, scheduled for July 22-23, 2026, as listed on the official European Central Bank calendar (https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/calendars/mgcgc/html/index.en.html).
  • This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the European Central Bank's July 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued.
  • If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound.
  • If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines.
  • Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps).

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Ativos nestes tópicos

BitcoinBTC$62,632.64+2.54%EthereumETH$1,651.33+2.14%SolanaSOL$65.09+1.78%DogecoinDOGE$0.085+2.01%XRPXRP$1.12+0.55%BNBBNB$594.43+1.80%

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Regras

This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the deposit facility rate resulting from the July 2026 meeting of the European Central Bank, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.

Polymarket
  • The resolution source will be official information from the European Central Bank, including the statement or release from its July 2026 meeting, scheduled for July 22-23, 2026, as listed on the official European Central Bank calendar (https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/calendars/mgcgc/html/index.en.html).
  • This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the European Central Bank's July 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued.
  • If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound.
  • If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines.
  • Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps).