PolymarketVerificar disponibilidadeSem KYC2% de taxaDados de resolução verificadosBem calibradoProbabilidade implícita atual
Não 96%
Qualidade do mercado
48 / 100
Baixa qualidadeVolume 24h
—
Liquidez
2,4 mil €
Liquidez médiaCompra / Venda
1.4% / 7.3%
Spread
5.9 pt
Spread amploComentários
0
Variação 7d
+0.1 pts
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 7 minutos
20/08/26, 00:04 UTC31/12/27, 23:59 UTC
Tendências
Regras
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Dario Amodei is not the Chief Executive Officer of Anthropic at the moment Anthropic shares begin trading on their first trading day.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- If Anthropic has not completed an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on whether Dario Amodei is the Chief Executive Officer of Anthropic at that date and time.
- Only Dario Amodei's status at that moment will be considered.
- A resignation or removal followed by a return to the position before that moment will not affect resolution, and an announced resignation or removal that has not yet taken effect will not be considered.
- Dario Amodei will be considered Chief Executive Officer only if he holds the Chief Executive Officer title, including as co-Chief Executive Officer.
Mercados abertos
Corporate ActionsPOLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,-1.0pt90%
- December 15,-1.0pt86%
- November 30,-0.5pt85%
+7 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 2,3 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 85,3 mil
KALSHIBoeing commercial airplane deliveries in 2026
- Above 56095%
- Above 580-1.0pt90%
- Above 60086%
+5 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 184,9 mil
- Volume 24h
KALSHIWhen will Tesla and SpaceX merge?
- Before 2028+2.0pt67%
- Before May 1, 2027-1.0pt49%
- Before Apr 1, 2027-7.0pt43%
+8 mais resultados
POLYMARKETLargest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- Anthropic+0.4pt59.4%
- SpaceX-4.5pt38.5%
- OpenAI+0.3pt2.1%
+9 mais resultados
POLYMARKETIsrael Election: Zionist Home & Yashar Run on Same List?
- Yes+43.3pt94%
- No-43.3pt6%
- Volume total
- € 21,2 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 20,3 mil
POLYMARKETOpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
- 1.5T++12.0pt78.2%
- 1.25T–1.5T-3.0pt8.9%
- 1T–1.25T-1.4pt5.9%
+4 mais resultados
- When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Will GameStop acquire eBay in 2026?
- Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Will OpenAI's valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Which companies will be acquired before 2027?
- Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
- What will OpenAI's IPO valuation be?
- In which month will Anthropic IPO?
- Will California authorize an alternative wage or other qualifying relief from goat-herder wage and overtime obligations before Oct 1, 2026?
Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Dario Amodei out as Anthropic CEO before IPO??
- A Polymarket cota No em 96% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Dario Amodei out as Anthropic CEO before IPO? é resolvido?
- Dario Amodei out as Anthropic CEO before IPO? deverá ser resolvido em 31 de dezembro de 2027.
- Como Dario Amodei out as Anthropic CEO before IPO? é liquidado?
- A Polymarket liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: This market will resolve to "Yes" if Dario Amodei is not the Chief Executive Officer of Anthropic at the moment Anthropic shares begin trading on their first trading day.