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  1. Mercados de Previsão
  2. Política
  3. Candidates in next Labour leadership election?
Candidates in next Labour leadership election?

Candidates in next Labour leadership election?

18.0% (24h)One-OffPolíticaEleiçãoEurope6m
PolymarketPolymarketVerificar disponibilidadeSem KYC2% de taxa
Probabilidade implícita atual
Andy Burnham
Andy Burnham 85%-2.0%
Líder entre 6 opções
Qualidade do mercado

52 / 100

Qualidade média
Volume 24h

2,9 mil €

Liquidez

11,7 mil €

Liquidez média
Compra / Venda

21.0% / 54.0%

Spread

157.1%

Spread amplo
Variação 7d

-16.5%

Dados do mercado

Atualizado há 3 minutos

13/05/26, 19:0631/12/26, 0:00

Tendências

Resultado24hProbabilidade

Resultado escolhido

Andy Burnham85%

Regras

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual is an official candidate in the next United Kingdom Labour Party leadership election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
  • “Official candidate” refers to the listed individual satisfying all applicable requirements and being officially confirmed by the Labour Party, or a consensus of credible reporting, as a candidate on the ballot for the next Labour Party leadership election.
  • Seeking nominations, announcing an intention to run, or being reported as a potential candidate will not qualify unless the individual is officially confirmed as a candidate on the ballot.
  • If a Labour Party leadership election occurs, or the final candidates are confirmed, and the listed individual is not included as a candidate, this market will resolve to “No”.
  • If no such election is scheduled, or the listed individual is not officially confirmed as a candidate, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.

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Regras

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual is an official candidate in the next United Kingdom Labour Party leadership election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
  • “Official candidate” refers to the listed individual satisfying all applicable requirements and being officially confirmed by the Labour Party, or a consensus of credible reporting, as a candidate on the ballot for the next Labour Party leadership election.
  • Seeking nominations, announcing an intention to run, or being reported as a potential candidate will not qualify unless the individual is officially confirmed as a candidate on the ballot.
  • If a Labour Party leadership election occurs, or the final candidates are confirmed, and the listed individual is not included as a candidate, this market will resolve to “No”.
  • If no such election is scheduled, or the listed individual is not officially confirmed as a candidate, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.