538: Will voters prefer Democrats or Republicans on Election Day?
Política
PolymarketFechadoVerificar disponibilidadeSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosBem calibradoEste mercado foi resolvido: Republicans
Evidência de resolução limitada
A CoinRithm pode mostrar o resultado registrado, mas nem todos os campos de liquidação são verificados pelo provedor.
Linha do Tempo de Probabilidade
Democrats0%
Republicans100%
RepublicansGanhou
DemocratsPerdeu
Regras
If the FiveThirtyEight graph titled "Do voters want Republicans or Democrats in Congress?" shows Democrats at a greater percentage of support than Republicans for the date of November 8, 2022, at check time, this market will resolve to "Democrats".
- If the same graph shows Republicans at a greater percentage of support than Democrats for November 8, 2022, at the time of the check, this market will resolve to "Republicans".
- If the same graph shows Democrats and Republicans at an equal percentage of support for the resolution date, this market will resolve to 50-50.
- The resolution source for this market is the FiveThirtyEight "Do voters want Republicans or Democrats in Congress?" graph, with the "POLL TYPE" option set to "Generic ballot" and the "CYCLE" option set to "2022".
- The graph is presently located at https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/generic-ballot/.
- Changes in the methodology by which FiveThirtyEight calculates this graph's figures will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
