#2 AI Lab end of August? (Style Control On)

TecnologiaOne-OffSpace1m

PolymarketVerificar disponibilidadeSem KYC2% de taxaDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibrado

Probabilidade implícita atual

Company A 50%

Líder entre 32 opções

Qualidade do mercado

52 / 100

Qualidade média

Volume 24h

885,4 €

Liquidez

3,1 mil €

Liquidez média

Compra / Venda

1.0% / 62.0%

Spread

6100.0%

Spread amplo

Dados do mercado

Atualizado há 13 minutos

21/07/26, 0:5831/08/26, 23:59

Tendências

Resultado24hProbabilidade

Apenas fundos simulados, sem dinheiro realIsto não é aconselhamento financeiro

Resultado escolhido

Company A50%

Aposta (USDT)

Regras

This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) (Style Control On) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on August 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall?rankBy=labs with style control on (Adjustments: Style Control) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time.
If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view.
If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard.
If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”).

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When will a non-SpaceX successfully reusable booster be first launched?

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MANIFOLD MARKETS

Ativos nestes tópicos

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Regras

Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall?rankBy=labs with style control on (Adjustments: Style Control) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time.
If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view.
If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard.
If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”).

#2 AI Lab end of August? (Style Control On)

TecnologiaOne-OffSpace1m

PolymarketVerificar disponibilidadeSem KYC2% de taxaDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibrado

Probabilidade implícita atual

Company A 50%

Líder entre 32 opções

Qualidade do mercado

52 / 100

Qualidade média

Volume 24h

885,4 €

Liquidez

3,1 mil €

Liquidez média

Compra / Venda

1.0% / 62.0%

Spread

6100.0%

Spread amplo

Dados do mercado

Atualizado há 13 minutos

21/07/26, 0:5831/08/26, 23:59

Tendências

Resultado24hProbabilidade

Apenas fundos simulados, sem dinheiro realIsto não é aconselhamento financeiro

Resultado escolhido

Company A50%

Aposta (USDT)

Regras

Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall?rankBy=labs with style control on (Adjustments: Style Control) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time.
If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view.
If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard.
If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”).

Mercados Relacionados

SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13

29,1 mil €

August 31: 96%

POLYMARKET

Which company has best AI model end of August?

25,7 mil €

Anthropic: 94%

POLYMARKET

Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by which date?

17,5 mil €

June 30, 2027: 54%

POLYMARKET

SpaceX Starship 13th launch?

10,9 mil €

Before July 24th: 71%

KALSHI

What will SpaceX say during their next earnings call?

7,2 mil €

Data Center: 81%

KALSHI

When will a non-SpaceX successfully reusable booster be first launched?

6,2 mil €

By Dec 31, 2025: 74%

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Ativos nestes tópicos

BitcoinBTC$66,283.89+1.75%

EthereumETH$1,918.18+1.02%

SolanaSOL$77.86+0.43%

DogecoinDOGE$0.0731+1.60%

BNBBNB$572.22+0.39%

XRPXRP$1.14+2.52%

Notícias Relacionadas

OpenAI Models Escaped Locked Test Environment, Hacked Hugging Face to Cheat on BenchmarkDecrypt

Google Ships New Gemini Flash Models, But Pro Is Still MissingDecrypt

Galaxy launches Bitcoin quantum computing initiative, commits up to $5 million in developer grantsThe Block

Google Is Building an AI Chip Just for Gemini—And Investors Already Moved On ItDecrypt

Bitget taps Siebly to simplify crypto trading API developmentCrypto News

Galaxy Commits Up to $5 Million to Prepare Bitcoin for Quantum ThreatDecrypt

Regras

Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall?rankBy=labs with style control on (Adjustments: Style Control) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time.
If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view.
If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard.
If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”).