Previsão da comunidade atual
Sim 82.8%
Previsores
13
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 1 hora
Atrasado2/12/25, 08:57 UTC3/07/29, 23:59 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
If Zack Polanski is leader of the Green Party going into the next UK election, will the PM be Green?
Manifold MarketsWill Zack Polanski stand in a by election before the next UK general election?
Manifold MarketsZack Polanski out as Green Party Leader by which date?
PolymarketWhen will Zack Polanski leave as Green Party leader?
KalshiWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
PolymarketMecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election Winner
PolymarketRegras
Resolves YES if Polanski is a candidate on the ballot sheet for any by-election that occurs prior to the polling date of the first General Election following July 2024.
Mercados abertos
PoliticsPOLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 606,3 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 721 mil
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio+1.0pt20%
- Tucker Carlson+0.1pt3%
+39 mais resultados
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-1.0pt55.5%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+2.5pt42.6%
- Renan Santos-0.1pt1%
+16 mais resultados
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff16.5%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez15.5%
- Gavin Newsom13.6%
+45 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 183,4 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 411,2 mil
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+4.0pt73%
- New People (NL)-2.5pt23%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-0.5pt3%
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen-1.3pt36.4%
- Édouard Philippe+1.0pt31.3%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon-1.0pt12.1%
+38 mais resultados
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- South Carolina Senate winner?
- New Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
- Putin out as President of Russia by which date?
- Trump out as President by September 30?
- Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?
Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Will Zack Polanski contest a seat in a Parliamentary By-Election before the next General Election??
- A Manifold Markets cota Yes em 83% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Will Zack Polanski contest a seat in a Parliamentary By-Election before the next General Election? é resolvido?
- Will Zack Polanski contest a seat in a Parliamentary By-Election before the next General Election? deverá ser resolvido em 3 de julho de 2029.
- Como Will Zack Polanski contest a seat in a Parliamentary By-Election before the next General Election? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: Resolves YES if Polanski is a candidate on the ballot sheet for any by-election that occurs prior to the polling date of the first General Election following July 2024.