Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atual
Sim 62.7%
Previsores
19
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 16 horas
Desatualizado3/12/23, 21:11 UTC1/01/41, 05:59 UTC
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Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
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Resolves YES if the next A Song of Ice and Fire book, The Winds of Winter, is released before the first human sets foot on Mars.
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Will "The Winds of Winter" be released before humanity lands on Mars??
- A Manifold Markets cota Yes em 63% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Will "The Winds of Winter" be released before humanity lands on Mars? é resolvido?
- Will "The Winds of Winter" be released before humanity lands on Mars? deverá ser resolvido em 1 de janeiro de 2041.
- Como Will "The Winds of Winter" be released before humanity lands on Mars? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: Resolves YES if the next A Song of Ice and Fire book, The Winds of Winter, is released before the first human sets foot on Mars.