Will "Why Latter-day Saints Have Strong Communities" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?

Perguntas frequentes

Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Will "Why Latter-day Saints Have Strong Communities" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review??

A Manifold Markets cota No em 86.5% em 25 de outubro de 2026.

Quando Will "Why Latter-day Saints Have Strong Communities" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review? é resolvido?

Will "Why Latter-day Saints Have Strong Communities" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review? deverá ser resolvido em 1 de fevereiro de 2027.

Como Will "Why Latter-day Saints Have Strong Communities" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review? é liquidado?

A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: As part of LessWrong's Annual Review, the community nominates, writes reviews, and votes on the most valuable posts.

Use este mercado em código ou em um agente de IA

JSON gratuito deste mercado, sem chave de API:

Agentes de IA: chame pm_data_event no servidor MCP da CoinRithm:

POLYMARKET

Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?

• No-0.1pt99%
• Yes+0.1pt1%

Volume total

€ 59,5 mi

Volume 24h

€ 6,8 mil

POLYMARKET

Sydney Sweeney confirmed converted to Judaism in 2026?

• No+1.1pt95%
• Yes-1.1pt5%

Volume total

€ 22 mil

Volume 24h

€ 843,2

KALSHI

What countries will Pope Leo visit in 2026?

• Argentina+9.0pt96.5%
• Peru-2.0pt93.5%
• Uruguay94.5%

KALSHI

Who will the next Pope be?

• Luis Antonio Tagle12.5%
• Pietro Parolin4.9%
• Pierbattista Pizzaballa3.8%

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Will Trump post another religious image deifying himself?

• Yes72.3%
• No27.7%

Volume total

€ 17,4 mil

Volume 24h

—

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Will there be a trend spike for the term "Maitreya" before 2030?

• No58%
• Yes42%

Volume total

€ 130,6

Volume 24h

—

• Will the Dome of the Rock in Jerusalem be destroyed by the end of Netanyahu's current term?
• AI Cult exists by 2027
• Pope Leo XIV mentions prediction markets before 2027?
• Will the next pope visit the United States by the end of 2026?
• Will Taylor Swift meet with Pope Leo XIV before 2027?
• Will I (Aella) convert to Christianity by the end of 2028?
• Where will the 11th U.S. National Eucharistic Congress in 2029 take place?
• Which religions will have gained in total self-identified practicing members from 2026 to 2057?
• GutsickGibbon has agreed to teach evolution to creationist Will Duffy. Will Pastor Duffy change his mind? (Rules below)
• When will the next ecumenical council of the Roman Catholic Church be held?