Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualSim 77.1%
Previsores
6
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 19 horas
Desatualizado19/08/26, 10:02 UTC31/12/27, 23:59 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
Will a Metal Gear Solid movie release by the end of 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill Luffy reveal "Gear 6" or a new major physical transformation in One Piece by the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Luffy find the One Piece in 2026?
Manifold Markets"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" total domestic gross by September 30?
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Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to YES if, in the official canonical One Piece manga written by Eiichiro Oda, Luffy achieves or uses a transformation explicitly named "Gear 6", "Gear Sixth", or "Gear VI" (or the Japanese equivalent such as ギア6 / ギアセクス / ギア シックス) before the series officially concludes.
- If the One Piece manga ends without Luffy ever using a transformation officially designated as "Gear 6" (or its equivalents), this market will resolve to NO.
- Resolution Details:
- Source of Truth: Official Shueisha Weekly Shonen Jump releases and/or official One Piece manga volume tankōbon.
- Anime-only episodes, non-canon movies, video games, promotional materials, or fan works do not count toward a YES resolution.
Mercados abertos
EntertainmentPOLYMARKET"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" total domestic gross by September 30?
- 950 - 960m+8.5pt76.5%
- 940 - 950m-11.0pt18.6%
- 960 - 970m-0.1pt2%
+2 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 342,8 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 91,2 mil
KALSHIPrimetime · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Above 5099%
- Above 5599%
- Above 60+2.0pt99%
+10 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 182,4 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 90,8 mil
POLYMARKETNext James Bond actor?
- Jack Lowden+25.1pt47.2%
- No Bond chosen-3.1pt18.9%
- Jack Barton-1.4pt10.4%
+21 mais resultados
KALSHINext James Bond film: Actor cast as James Bond
- Jack Lowden+8.0pt46%
- Jack Barton-4.0pt21%
- Callum Turner-6.0pt18%
+27 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 1,8 mi
KALSHIRunner · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Above 45+15.0pt99%
- Above 50+39.0pt97%
- Above 55+42.0pt84%
+7 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 264,6 mil
KALSHIPractical Magic 2 · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Above 45-53.0pt14%
- Above 50-56.0pt8%
- Above 55-48.0pt2%
+14 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 84,3 mil
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Will we have luffy gear 6 within the end of the series??
- A Manifold Markets cota Yes em 77% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Will we have luffy gear 6 within the end of the series? é resolvido?
- Will we have luffy gear 6 within the end of the series? deverá ser resolvido em 31 de dezembro de 2027.
- Como Will we have luffy gear 6 within the end of the series? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: Resolution criteria