Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atual
Não 98%
Previsores
49
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 15 horas
Desatualizado19/01/24, 11:13 UTC1/03/27, 22:59 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
Will we get fusion reactors before 2030?
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Manifold MarketsWhen will nuclear fusion be achieved?
KalshiWill WHO declare Hantavirus a Public Health Emergency of International Concern this Year?
KalshiWhen will Compass Pathways submit a NDA for COMP360 psilocybin?
KalshiRegras
Resolves as YES if we have built a fusion reactor that has run continuously for at least 24 hours prior to January 1st 2027 at engineering breakeven (Q_E >= 1).
- Questions with the same criteria:
- @/RemNi/will-we-get-fusion-reactors-before-d18e9fd38cd1
- @/RemNi/will-we-get-fusion-reactors-before-a380452919f1
- @/RemNi/will-we-get-fusion-reactors-before-93a1ac777df5 (this question)
- @/RemNi/will-we-get-fusion-reactors-before-f5a1947c172a
Mercados abertos
Health & Medicine
POLYMARKETHantavirus pandemic in 2026?
- No-0.2pt97%
- Yes+0.2pt3%
- Volume total
- € 15,6 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 20,3 mil
KALSHIWill WHO declare Hantavirus a Public Health Emergency of International Concern this Year?
- No96%
- Yes+0.6pt4%
- Volume total
- € 1,6 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 8 mil
POLYMARKETFDA approves skin cancer vaccine by which date?
- December 31,+4.0pt65%
- September41%
- June28%
- Volume total
- € 84,1 mil
POLYMARKETEbola pandemic in 2026?
- No-0.1pt97%
- Yes+0.1pt3%
- Volume total
- € 652,6 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 3,4 mil
KALSHIMeasles cases in 2026?
- Above 300099%
- Above 400097%
- Above 6000-4.0pt58%
+2 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 865,4 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 3 mil
POLYMARKETNew pandemic in 2026?
- No+1.0pt94.1%
- Yes-1.0pt5.9%
- Volume total
- € 915,2 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 1,2 mil
- When will the FDA approve Intellia Therapeutics' lonvo-z?
- Will 3 mg THC beverages be federally legal to sell?
- Measles cases in U.S. in 2026?
- Cyclosporiasis cases reported in the US in 2026?
- FDA decision: Bepirovirsen by GlaxoSmithKline (in 2026)
- What will the average number of measles cases be during Trump's term?
- Will the FDA approve CagriSema?
- When will the FDA reclassify BPC-157 to Category 1?
- FDA decision: Saroglitazar by Zydus Therapeutics (in 2026)
- FDA decision: Ifinatamab Deruxtecan by Daiichi Sankyo (in 2026)
- When will Compass Pathways submit a NDA for COMP360 psilocybin?
Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Will we get fusion reactors before 2027??
- A Manifold Markets cota No em 98% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Will we get fusion reactors before 2027? é resolvido?
- Will we get fusion reactors before 2027? deverá ser resolvido em 1 de março de 2027.
- Como Will we get fusion reactors before 2027? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: Resolves as YES if we have built a fusion reactor that has run continuously for at least 24 hours prior to January 1st 2027 at engineering breakeven (Q_E >= 1).