Will UC Rusal's primary aluminum production for calendar year 2028 exceed 4.0 million tonnes?
ChinaOne-Off2aManifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualNão 51.2%
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Atualizado há 6 horas
Desatualizado4/05/26, 17:53 UTC31/05/29, 23:59 UTC
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Manifold MarketsRegras
This market resolves YES if UC Rusal's primary aluminum production for calendar year 2028 (January 1 – December 31, 2028) exceeds 4.0 million tonnes.
- Settlement is May 31, 2029 — the close pushes ~5 months past year-end so the producer's full-year financial report and December 2028 monthly print are well-published before resolution.
- UC Rusal. 2024 actual 3.992 Mt; flat through sanctions period.
- The 4.0 Mt strike for 2028 reflects steady-state operations; deviations depend on geopolitical reset of end-market access rather than capacity changes.
- Resolution sources (priority order):
- UC Rusal annual report and interim results https://rusal.ru/en/investors/
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Will UC Rusal's primary aluminum production for calendar year 2028 exceed 4.0 million tonnes??
- A Manifold Markets cota No em 51% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Will UC Rusal's primary aluminum production for calendar year 2028 exceed 4.0 million tonnes? é resolvido?
- Will UC Rusal's primary aluminum production for calendar year 2028 exceed 4.0 million tonnes? deverá ser resolvido em 31 de maio de 2029.
- Como Will UC Rusal's primary aluminum production for calendar year 2028 exceed 4.0 million tonnes? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: This market resolves YES if UC Rusal's primary aluminum production for calendar year 2028 (January 1 – December 31, 2028) exceeds 4.0 million tonnes.