Will Trump pardon Maduro?
One-OffPolítica dos EUAGeopolíticaEleiçãoCrime e justiçaAmérica LatinaPolítica3aManifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualNão 61.6%
Previsores
22
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 16 minutos
3/01/26, 14:15 UTC4/01/30, 14:15 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
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PolymarketRegras
Resolution criteria
- The Trump Administration has called Maduro's government "illegitimate" and accused the Venezuelan President of being a "narco-terrorist".
- This market resolves YES if Trump grants Maduro a pardon before leaving office.
- Resolution will be determined by official announcements from the White House or Trump's social media accounts.
- The market resolves NO if Trump's presidency ends without such a pardon being issued.
- Trump has taken very different approaches in his relationships with the two men—threatening to deploy military force in an escalating pressure campaign against one, while offering the other clemency, referring to Maduro and former Honduran President Hernández respectively.
