Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualNeither 92.1%Líder entre 3 opções
Previsores
17
Tipo de pergunta
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Variação 7d
0.0 pts
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 11 horas
Desatualizado23/06/25, 08:52 UTC20/01/29, 07:18 UTC
Tendências
Regras
Increase if, by the end of Trump's second term, the net effect of all immigration-related legislation he signs into law is a projected increase of at least 10% in annual green card issuances (specifically because of the legislation).
- Decrease if the projected effect is a decrease of at least 10%.
- Neither if the net projected effect is -10% to +10%, or no relevant law is signed.
- Resolution is based on projections from nonpartisan congressional sources like CBO, or consensus among think tanks etc. (with differing politics between them, if possible).
- I will not bet on this market.
