Will Trump go a full week without speaking live on camera before the end of 2026?
US PoliticsOne-Off3mManifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualNão 90%
Previsores
43
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 14 horas
Desatualizado2/09/25, 22:27 UTC31/12/26, 23:59 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
Sourcery with Molly O'Shea: Will Donald Trump go on?
KalshiHow Long Will Trump Go To Jail?
Manifold MarketsWill Trump go on SNL during his second term?
KalshiWho or what will President Trump go after before the end of 2025?
Manifold MarketsPresidential Election Winner 2028
PolymarketRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
PolymarketRegras
Live camera appearances must be unambiguous.
- I will use my best judgment as to what that entails, but I will not be conspiratorial (like, I'm not going to give credence to pixel-by-pixel analysis of all video footage out of the White House or whatever).
- By week, I mean 24*7 hours, not a calendar week.
- I will not bet in this market to remain objective.
Mercados abertos
US PoliticsPOLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 605,7 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 695,7 mil
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.1pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 603,2 mi
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-2.4pt48.3%
- October 31-2.0pt29.3%
- September 30-4.0pt12.1%
+17 mais resultados
POLYMARKET$LAPTOP FDV above ___ one day after launch?
- $10M+9.8pt96%
- $25M+15.5pt94%
- $50M+31.5pt86%
+4 mais resultados
KALSHIWhich party will win the U.S. House?
- Democratic Party84.2%
- Republican Party15.8%
- Volume total
- € 24,3 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 294,7 mil
KALSHI2028 Republican presidential nominee
- J.D. Vance44.7%
- Marco Rubio20.4%
- Ron DeSantis3.9%
+35 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 54,7 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 291,3 mil
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- New Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
- Which party will win the House in 2026?
- Trump renames New Mexico to New America by which date?
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by which date?
- Trump out as President by September 30?
- Rhode Island Democratic Governor nominee?
Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Will Trump go a full week without speaking live on camera before the end of 2026??
- A Manifold Markets cota No em 90% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Will Trump go a full week without speaking live on camera before the end of 2026? é resolvido?
- Will Trump go a full week without speaking live on camera before the end of 2026? deverá ser resolvido em 31 de dezembro de 2026.
- Como Will Trump go a full week without speaking live on camera before the end of 2026? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: Live camera appearances must be unambiguous.