Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualNão 88.7%
Previsores
20
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 5 horas
Desatualizado8/09/23, 13:11 UTC1/01/29, 07:59 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
Will Trump be held liable for January 6th in any court?
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FutuurRegras
The status of these two markets:
- https://manifold.markets/MartinRandall/when-will-trump-be-imprisoned
- https://manifold.markets/Duncn/will-trump-spend-any-time-in-prison
- imply that the market has a substantial chunk of its probability mass on Trump going under house arrest.
- The status of this market https://manifold.markets/BTE/will-trump-be-held-under-house-arre confirms this (though currently it is inconsistent with the "when will trump be imprisoned" market).
- This market resolves YES if Donald J. Trump is held under house arrest in the United States.
Mercados abertos
US Politics
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Will Trump be held under house arrest before he dies??
- A Manifold Markets cota No em 89% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Will Trump be held under house arrest before he dies? é resolvido?
- Will Trump be held under house arrest before he dies? deverá ser resolvido em 1 de janeiro de 2029.
- Como Will Trump be held under house arrest before he dies? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: The status of these two markets: