Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualNão 93.1%
Previsores
131
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 8 minutos
13/10/24, 21:55 UTC31/12/26, 13:29 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
Will Tesla officially report building 10,000+ Optimus robots in 2026 (1/5 of its own 50k-100k target)?
Manifold MarketsWill Tesla sell Optimus robots to the public by the end of 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill there be a million Optimus robots by 2035?
Manifold MarketsWill a cybertruck model still be produced ten years after Elon Musk stops working for Tesla.
Manifold MarketsBTC price on Oct 26, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
KalshiBitcoin price at the end of 2026
KalshiRegras
“My prediction is next year we’ll have over a thousand, maybe a few thousand, Optimus robots working at Tesla.”
- https://x.com/SmokeAwayyy/status/1801400924096839732
- [tweet]This was a prediction made during the Tesla 2024 Annual Stockholder Meeting.
- I take "working" to mean autonomously deployed in factories and performing productive labor.
- Update 2025-06-06 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The creator has clarified their interpretation of productive labor:
- Robots dancing as entertainers for the human factory workforce would be considered as performing productive labor.
