Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Will there be more than 500,000,000 religious Buddhists worldwide on 1st January 2030??

A Manifold Markets cota No em 51.8% em 24 de outubro de 2026.

Will there be more than 500,000,000 religious Buddhists worldwide on 1st January 2030?

Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibrado

Previsão da comunidade atual

Não 51.8%

Previsores

Tipo de pergunta

binary

Metodologia

Play-money forecasting platform

Tipo de fonte

Previsão

Dados do mercado

Atualizado há 5 horas

Desatualizado

24/03/24, 11:49 UTC1/01/30, 23:59 UTC

Tendências

Resultado24hProbabilidade

Regras

Resolves “yes” if most plausible statistics show there are more than 500mill Buddhists worldwide on 1st January 2030

Resolves “no” if the statistics show there are fewer than 500mill Buddhists on that date.
Resolves “n/a” if plausible statistics disagree with each other over whether there are more than 500mill Buddhists exist on that date or not.
Only people who follow Buddhism as a religion count for this market, not those who treat it as a secular philosophy.