Will there be a US-China war if Trump gets elected in 2024?
PolíticaOne-OffPolítica dos EUAGeopolíticaChinaEleição1a
Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoAviso de qualidade dos dadosDados da fonte degradados
Dados de 26 de out. de 2026, 05:41 UTC · política pm-quality-4
Previsão da comunidade atualNão 85%
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22
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 4 horas
Desatualizado15/07/24, 20:26 UTC20/01/28, 22:59 UTC
Tendências
Regras
- This market will resolve as N/A if Donald J. Trump does not win the 2024 U.S. Presidential election, or if he does not assume the office of President on January 20, 2025.
- - An armed conflict is defined as sustained military engagements involving direct combat between the armed forces of the United States and the People's Republic of China.
- - This market will resolve as YES if an armed conflict occurs between the United States and the People's Republic of China during Trump's presidency.
- - If there is no armed conflict between the United States and the People's Republic of China by the end of Trump's presidency, this market will resolve as NO.
- - The market will resolve on January 21, 2029.
- This allows for the possibility of Trump serving a full four-year term from January 20, 2025, to January 20, 2029.
