Will there be a serious neo-Luddite movement (complete with major organizations and funding topping ~$1 Million USD) by 2030?
One-OffSociedade e cultura3aManifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoAviso de qualidade dos dadosDados da fonte degradados
Dados de 25 de out. de 2026, 20:28 UTC · política pm-quality-4
Previsão da comunidade atualSim 72.7%
Previsores
44
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 6 horas
Desatualizado3/02/23, 17:37 UTC3/01/30, 06:00 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
Will there be a serious lawsuit against AGI development because x-risk, in the West before 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill there be a serious incident caused by AI before 2030? (AI Chernobyl)
Manifold MarketsWill there be a serious "moon hoax" movement about the next moon landing within 5 years of it?
Manifold MarketsWill a Magic the Gathering card sell for $5 Million USD or more before the end of 2027?
Manifold MarketsElon Musk # tweets October 24 - October 26, 2026?
PolymarketIs Cheryl Scott from ABC CHICAGO pregnant????!?!??? 🤰
Manifold MarketsRegras
Resolves "Yes" if multiple organizations that identify explicitly as Neo-Luddite crop up by 2030 and amass funding in total that amounts to $1 million USD.
