Will the US sovereign wealth fund invest in Blackstone or TPG by 2028?
AçõesOne-OffTecnologiaPolítica dos EUA2aManifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualNão 61.5%
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5
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binary
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Atualizado há 1 hora
Atrasado3/02/25, 23:15 UTC1/01/29, 05:59 UTC
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Will resolve true if at any time a credible source reports money from the fund being directly invested in Blackstone/TPG directly, or a subsidiary of either.
- Will resolve false if this does not happen by December 31 2028 (including if the fund is not actually established)
- *I.e., not through an index
- **25 Aug 2025: will still resolve false if the shares are purchased directly by the USG and no fund is ever created
- Update 2025-02-03 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Direct Investment Clarification:
- Only a direct investment in Blackstone or TPG (or a subsidiary of either) qualifies as a resolution event.
