Will the "Trump Route for International Peace and Prosperity" in the Caucasus get built by 2030?
US PoliticsOne-OffGeopolíticaRussia / Ukraine3aManifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualNão 58.3%
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9
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Atualizado há 7 horas
Desatualizado10/08/25, 22:09 UTC31/12/29, 23:59 UTC
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The proposed route goes from Azerbaijan through Armenia to Turkey and it's supposed to be controlled by the US.
- If the route goes the full length and is in fact controlled by the US (US personal present and in control) this resolves YES.
- A partial route or a route not controlled by the US resolves NO.
- If it's unclear who controls the route, I'll create a poll.
- Context: https://www.reuters.com/world/us-secures-strategic-transit-corridor-armenia-azerbaijan-peace-deal-2025-08-07/
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Will the "Trump Route for International Peace and Prosperity" in the Caucasus get built by 2030??
- A Manifold Markets cota No em 58% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Will the "Trump Route for International Peace and Prosperity" in the Caucasus get built by 2030? é resolvido?
- Will the "Trump Route for International Peace and Prosperity" in the Caucasus get built by 2030? deverá ser resolvido em 31 de dezembro de 2029.
- Como Will the "Trump Route for International Peace and Prosperity" in the Caucasus get built by 2030? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: The proposed route goes from Azerbaijan through Armenia to Turkey and it's supposed to be controlled by the US.