Will the total number of registered Democrats in the US be lower in the 2026 election than in the 2024 election?
PolíticaOne-OffPolítica dos EUAEleição3d
Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosBem calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualNão 51.6%
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6
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binary
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Atualizado há 6 horas
Desatualizado8/11/24, 18:16 UTC4/11/26, 07:59 UTC
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I'm using this metric to evaluate a prediction from Andrew Yang: Abandon Policing Cultural Behaviors | Blog | Andrew Yang
- "In many ways, these all boil down to one thing: The Democratic Party should act more democratically.
- But they will do none of these things.
- Instead, they will begin jockeying for position within the party to run in 2028.
- That is why more and more voters will look for options, like the Forward Party, or declare themselves independents as Trump returns to power.
- Institutions incapable of reform get replaced."
