Will the Supreme Court overturn any of Griswold, Lawrence, or Obergefell by 2040?
US PoliticsOne-Off13aManifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualNão 90%
Previsores
53
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 9 horas
Desatualizado29/06/22, 18:51 UTC1/01/40, 07:59 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
Will the Supreme Court overturn gay marriage?
KalshiWill the Supreme Court overturn Griggs v. Duke Power Co.?
Manifold MarketsWill the U.S. supreme court be packed/expanded before 2040?
Manifold MarketsAlexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice?
PolymarketWill Lula announce nomination of a Supreme Court minister by which date?
PolymarketWill the Supreme Court hear a case on Trump's tariffs in 2026?
KalshiRegras
> In future cases, we should reconsider all of this Court’s substantive due process precedents, including Griswold, Lawrence, and Obergefell.
- Because any substantive due process decision is “demonstrably erroneous,” we have a duty to “correct the error” established in those precedents. ~ Clarence Thomas
- This question will resolve to yes if the Supreme court overturns any of the aforementioned rulings.
Mercados abertos
US PoliticsPOLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 605,7 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 695,7 mil
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.1pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 603,2 mi
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-2.4pt48.3%
- October 31-2.0pt29.3%
- September 30-4.0pt12.1%
+17 mais resultados
POLYMARKET$LAPTOP FDV above ___ one day after launch?
- $10M+9.8pt96%
- $25M+15.5pt94%
- $50M+31.5pt86%
+4 mais resultados
KALSHIWhich party will win the U.S. House?
- Democratic Party84.2%
- Republican Party15.8%
- Volume total
- € 24,3 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 294,7 mil
KALSHI2028 Republican presidential nominee
- J.D. Vance44.7%
- Marco Rubio20.4%
- Ron DeSantis3.9%
+35 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 54,7 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 291,3 mil
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- New Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
- Which party will win the House in 2026?
- Trump renames New Mexico to New America by which date?
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by which date?
- Trump out as President by September 30?
- Rhode Island Democratic Governor nominee?
Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Will the Supreme Court overturn any of Griswold, Lawrence, or Obergefell by 2040??
- A Manifold Markets cota No em 90% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Will the Supreme Court overturn any of Griswold, Lawrence, or Obergefell by 2040? é resolvido?
- Will the Supreme Court overturn any of Griswold, Lawrence, or Obergefell by 2040? deverá ser resolvido em 1 de janeiro de 2040.
- Como Will the Supreme Court overturn any of Griswold, Lawrence, or Obergefell by 2040? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: > In future cases, we should reconsider all of this Court’s substantive due process precedents, including Griswold, Lawrence, and Obergefell.