Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosBem calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualNão 99%
Previsores
9
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 14 minutos
1/10/26, 00:26 UTC31/10/26, 23:59 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
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LimitlessRegras
Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to "Yes" if the S&P 500 Index's closing value on Oct 30, 2026, is within 1% of its all-time high.
- If the market reaches a new all time high, that will be what the market must be within 1% of for the market to resolve to "Yes." If the closing value falls outside this range, the market will resolve to "No.".
- If the market closes exactly 1% below all time high this will resolve to 50%
- AH trading cannot and will not be counted, it does not have anything to do with final close
- Update 2025-10-13 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): "Within 1%" means: closing value > 0.99 × all-time high
