Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualNão 78.8%
Previsores
19
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
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Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 2 horas
Desatualizado1/01/26, 03:59 UTC1/01/27, 07:59 UTC
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KalshiRegras
Resolution Criteria: The market will be based on closing prices only, comparing the close to close price movement from one day to the next.
- Intraday Prices: Any price movements within the trading day will not be considered.
- Weekend closes count: The market will consider close-to-close price movements from Friday to Monday as a single day-to-day comparison for the purposes of determining if there was a >5% decrease.
Mercados abertos
Equities
POLYMARKETLargest Company end of December 2026?
- NVIDIA+1.0pt77.7%
- Apple+0.6pt13.6%
- Alphabet6.8%
+5 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 6 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 105,2 mil
KALSHINasdaq-100 price on Sep 8, 2026 at 4pm EDT?
- 27,510 or above99%
- 28,550 or above98%
- 29,130 or above98%
+97 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 102,5 mil
- Volume 24h
KALSHIS&P price on Sep 8, 2026 at 4pm EDT?
- 7,650 or above99%
- 7,600 or above99%
- 7,655 or above+31.0pt99%
+67 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 46,7 mil
- Volume 24h
KALSHIS&P close price end of 2026?
- 7,800 to 7,999.9917.1%
- 8,000 to 8,199.9915.2%
- 7,600 to 7,799.99-1.0pt10.5%
+24 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 5,6 mi
- Volume 24h
KALSHIBoeing commercial airplane deliveries in 2026
- Above 56095%
- Above 580-1.0pt90%
- Above 60086%
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- Volume total
- € 184,9 mil
- Volume 24h
POLYMARKETS&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 8?
- Down+32.1pt99%
- Up-32.1pt1%
- Volume total
- € 41,3 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 38,9 mil
- Nasdaq-100 close price end of 2026?
- EQT Energy Company (EQT) Up or Down - Daily
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Will the S&P 500 decrease by over 5% in one day in 2026??
- A Manifold Markets cota No em 79% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Will the S&P 500 decrease by over 5% in one day in 2026? é resolvido?
- Will the S&P 500 decrease by over 5% in one day in 2026? deverá ser resolvido em 1 de janeiro de 2027.
- Como Will the S&P 500 decrease by over 5% in one day in 2026? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: Resolution Criteria: The market will be based on closing prices only, comparing the close to close price movement from one day to the next.