Will the President have federal police presence at polling places during the midterms?
PolíticaOne-OffPolítica dos EUAEleiçãoGeopolíticaEleições de meio de mandato dos EUA 20263d
Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosBem calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualSim 62.9%
Previsores
17
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 15 horas
Desatualizado7/07/26, 18:13 UTC3/11/26, 23:59 UTC
Tendências
Regras
President Trump (or the sitting U. S. President) orders or installs military, DHS, ICE agents, FBI, secret service, federal agents or policing personnel, National Guard, a response force, or any police or military presence at any polling places in November midterm elections.
- Resolution criteria
- This market resolves to YES if, during the November 2026 U.S. midterm elections (including early voting periods and Election Day on November 3, 2026), the sitting U.S. President or the federal executive branch orders or installs a military, DHS, ICE, FBI, Secret Service, CBP, National Guard, or other federal law enforcement or policing presence at or immediately outside any active polling place or official ballot drop-box location.
- To resolve YES, the following must occur:
- There must be a documented executive order, presidential directive, or confirmed deployment of these federal forces or agents at a polling place or drop-box site.
- The presence must consist of federal personnel, federalized National Guard, or state National Guard deployed under federal direction (Title 10 status).
