Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualSim 99%
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48
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binary
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Atualizado há 8 horas
Desatualizado15/07/26, 21:58 UTC15/08/27, 21:54 UTC
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Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
How many movies will gross >$1 billion in 2026?
Manifold Markets"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" grosses >$2.5 billion worldwide?
Manifold Markets"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" grosses >$2.6 billion worldwide?
Manifold MarketsRunner · Rotten Tomatoes score
KalshiWhat will be the #2 US Netflix show this week?
PolymarketDisney+ App Downloads in September
KalshiRegras
Resolution source: BoxOfficeMojo, "WORLDWIDE".
- For reference, "Oppenheimer" has a worldwide gross of $975,811,333.
- I won't necessarily wait to resolve until "The Odyssey" is no longer earning any money in theaters—I may resolve NO early if there have been multiple consecutive weeks with sufficiently small gross that the outcome is overwhelmingly clear.
Mercados abertos
Box Office / StreamingKALSHIRunner · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Above 50+3.0pt99%
- Above 45-3.0pt96%
- Above 55+4.0pt94%
+7 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 314,5 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 33,6 mil
POLYMARKETWhat will be the #2 US Netflix show this week?
- Death of the Pastor's Wife: Season 152%
- Crew Girl: Season 135%
- NFL Melbourne Game: 49ers vs. Rams30%
+3 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 586,3
KALSHIWild Horse Nine · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Above 4599%
- Above 5099%
- Above 5599%
+11 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 76,7 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 455,5
KALSHIDisney+ App Downloads in September
- Above 11945%
- Above 123+2.0pt37%
- Above 12929%
+6 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 7,1 mil
- Volume 24h
POLYMARKETHow many views will the #1 Show on Netflix have this week?
- 8M+95%
- 6M+58%
- 12M+55%
+4 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 30,1
KALSHIParamount+ App Downloads in September
- Above 7957%
- Above 82-1.0pt51%
- Above 8351%
+6 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 10,2 mil
- Volume 24h
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- "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" grosses >$2.5 billion worldwide?
- Will The Odyssey have a higher domestic PTA than Spider-Man on every remaining Tuesday in September?
Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Will "The Odyssey" gross >$1 billion worldwide??
- A Manifold Markets cota Yes em 99% em 10 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Will "The Odyssey" gross >$1 billion worldwide? é resolvido?
- Will "The Odyssey" gross >$1 billion worldwide? deverá ser resolvido em 15 de agosto de 2027.
- Como Will "The Odyssey" gross >$1 billion worldwide? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: Resolution source: BoxOfficeMojo, "WORLDWIDE".