PolymarketVerificar disponibilidadeSem KYC2% de taxaDados de resolução verificadosBem calibradoProbabilidade implícita atual
Não 98%+0.1pt
Qualidade do mercado
≤49 / 100
Baixa qualidadeVolume 24h
—
Liquidez
1 mil €
Baixa liquidezCompra / Venda
1.8% / 2.9%
Spread
1.1 pt
Spread apertadoComentários
0
Variação 7d
-0.6 pts
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 4 minutos
21/07/26, 01:08 UTC18/12/26, 23:59 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
Regras
Dune: Part Three is expected to be released on December 18, 2026.
- This market will resolve to "Yes" if a new release date later than the one stated above is officially announced by December 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- A qualifying announcement must be made through official communication channels of a competent entity such as the studio, distributor, production, or a parent company, or a subsidiary, or authorized representative thereof.
- Resolution will be based on official statements from competent entities; however, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Comparação de fontes de previsão
2 plataformas cotam atualmente este mercado. A probabilidade de referência ponderada pela liquidez da CoinRithm para Referencia CoinRithm é de 2%. As cotações diferem cerca de 1 ponto percentual entre as plataformas mais afastadas.
Referencia CoinRithm 2% · 2 plataformas · 1 pt de dispersao entre venues
Mercados abertos
Box Office / Streaming
KALSHIRunner · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Above 50+3.0pt99%
- Above 45-3.0pt96%
- Above 55+4.0pt94%
+7 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 314,5 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 33,6 mil
POLYMARKETWhat will be the #2 US Netflix show this week?
- Death of the Pastor's Wife: Season 152%
- Crew Girl: Season 135%
- NFL Melbourne Game: 49ers vs. Rams30%
+3 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 586,3
KALSHIWild Horse Nine · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Above 4599%
- Above 5099%
- Above 5599%
+11 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 76,7 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 455,5
KALSHIDisney+ App Downloads in September
- Above 11945%
- Above 123+2.0pt37%
- Above 12929%
+6 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 7,1 mil
- Volume 24h
POLYMARKETHow many views will the #1 Show on Netflix have this week?
- 8M+95%
- 6M+58%
- 12M+55%
+4 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 30,1
KALSHIParamount+ App Downloads in September
- Above 7957%
- Above 82-1.0pt51%
- Above 8351%
+6 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 10,2 mil
- Volume 24h
- Will SHREK 5 be delayed?
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- Will "Oasis: Don’t Look Back In Anger" earn more than $22M in domestic gross earnings (in US dollars) during their openi
- "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" grosses >$2.5 billion worldwide?
- Will The Odyssey have a higher domestic PTA than Spider-Man on every remaining Tuesday in September?
- "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" breaks the record for the biggest domestic lifetime gross of all time?
Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Will Dune: Part Three be delayed??
- A Polymarket cota No em 98% em 10 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Will Dune: Part Three be delayed? é resolvido?
- Will Dune: Part Three be delayed? deverá ser resolvido em 18 de dezembro de 2026.
- Como Will Dune: Part Three be delayed? é liquidado?
- A Polymarket liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: Dune: Part Three is expected to be released on December 18, 2026.
- Onde mais Will Dune: Part Three be delayed? está listado?
- A mesma pergunta também está listada em Kalshi.