Previsão da comunidade atual
Não 91%
Previsores
16
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 15 horas
Desatualizado23/03/26, 11:51 UTC24/04/27, 23:59 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
Who will be the next president of France in 2027 ?
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Resolution criteria
- The election will be held in April 2027, with a second round two weeks later if no candidate secures a majority vote.
- The market resolves YES if the winner of the 2027 French presidential election is a member of the Parti Socialiste (PS).
- Resolution will be based on official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).
- Relations between France Insoumise and the Parti Socialiste are at rock bottom, with PS First Secretary Olivier Faure stating there will be no national pact with France Insoumise in the 2027 presidential elections.
- Several leftist groups have announced a primary in October 2026 to pick a united left candidate under the banner 'Front Populaire', with representatives from the Parti Socialiste, the Greens, and the Communists participating.
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Will the next president of France be from Parti Socialiste??
- A Manifold Markets cota No em 91% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Will the next president of France be from Parti Socialiste? é resolvido?
- Will the next president of France be from Parti Socialiste? deverá ser resolvido em 24 de abril de 2027.
- Como Will the next president of France be from Parti Socialiste? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: Resolution criteria