Previsão da comunidade atual
Não 66%
Previsores
10
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 5 horas
Desatualizado1/04/26, 12:52 UTC1/04/29, 12:37 UTC
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Italy crashed out of qualifying for the World Cup.
- Does narrative causality dictate the next pope is going to be Italian?
- Resolution Criteria.
- I will be liberal in interpreting what counts as Italian.
- At least one italian grandparent counts, but not recursively.
- Having been an immigrant to Italy for over three years at time of enthronement counts.
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Will the next pope be Italian??
- A Manifold Markets cota No em 66% em 9 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Will the next pope be Italian? é resolvido?
- Will the next pope be Italian? deverá ser resolvido em 1 de abril de 2029.
- Como Will the next pope be Italian? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: Italy crashed out of qualifying for the World Cup.