Will the next justice to leave the Supreme Court be a conservative?
PolíticaOne-OffUS PoliticsEleição3m
Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atual
Sim 79.9%
Previsores
28
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
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Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 12 horas
Desatualizado31/07/24, 02:04 UTC1/01/27, 05:59 UTC
Tendências
Regras
Resolves YES if the next justice to leave the US Supreme Court for any reason (i.e., death, retirement, impeachment) is a conservative.
- The current conservative justices are John Roberts, Clarence Thomas, Samuel Alito, Neil Gorsuch, Brett Kavanaugh, and Amy Coney Barrett.
- Resolves NO if the next justice to leave is not one of these conservative justices.
- The question will resolve once the next justice officially vacates their post.
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Will the next justice to leave the Supreme Court be a conservative??
- A Manifold Markets cota Yes em 80% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Will the next justice to leave the Supreme Court be a conservative? é resolvido?
- Will the next justice to leave the Supreme Court be a conservative? deverá ser resolvido em 1 de janeiro de 2027.
- Como Will the next justice to leave the Supreme Court be a conservative? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: Resolves YES if the next justice to leave the US Supreme Court for any reason (i.e., death, retirement, impeachment) is a conservative.