Will the Jones Act be repealed or significantly eased by the end of the next presidency?
One-OffPolítica dos EUARegulamentaçãoPolítica comercial2aManifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualSim 58.7%
Previsores
26
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 13 horas
Desatualizado27/09/24, 20:37 UTC22/01/29, 06:59 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
Will the Onion Futures Act be repealed?
KalshiWill the Affordable Care Act get repealed before January 20th, 2029?
Manifold MarketsWill the Jones Act be repealed?
KalshiWill the Jones Act be repealed before 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill the Jones Act be loosened if and only if Trump wins the presidency?
Manifold MarketsWill the Jones Act be amended or repealed to ease restrictions on cabotage within the US by 2032?
Manifold MarketsRegras
The Jones Act requires that cabotage within the US happen on US-built and US-flagged vessels.
- Will it be repealed or significantly loosened with respect to this provision by 2028-01-21?
- At a minimum, this requires a process by which a non-US-built vessel could transport goods directly between US ports.
- I will not trade on this question until there has been time to clarify resolution criteria.
- Update 2026-03-18 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): A waiver alone is not sufficient for YES resolution, as the question requires a change to the law itself.
- However, a broad 'temporary' waiver that never ends could qualify as a functional repeal even if the law remains on the books.
