Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualSim 89.3%
Previsores
20
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 22 horas
Desatualizado4/10/22, 22:50 UTC31/12/27, 16:59 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
Will the ISS still be in operation at the start of 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill any of NASA's Canoo Crew Transportation Vehicles (CTVs) fail during operation or no longer be utilised by 2028?
Manifold MarketsWhich company has the best AI model end of September?
PolymarketSpaceX (SPCX) Up or Down - Daily
LimitlessHow many launches will SpaceX have in September?
KalshiWhich company has the best AI model end of October?
PolymarketRegras
This market will resolve if any of the following are true:
- - If this market reaches its close date
- - If `HdfAJon2lb0ZttRbUSAC` closes (Will the ISS still be in operation at the start of 2027?).
- It will resolve based on the following decision tree:
- - If the human operator agrees:
- --- Resolves to round(MKT).
Mercados abertos
SpacePOLYMARKETWhich company has the best AI model end of September?
- Anthropic+0.5pt89.9%
- OpenAI-1.6pt8.1%
- Google-0.1pt2%
+18 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 2,4 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 131,5 mil
LIMITLESSSpaceX (SPCX) Up or Down - Daily
- No60.4%
- Yes39.6%
- Volume total
- € 103,6 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 27,9 mil
POLYMARKETWhich company has the best AI model end of October?
- Anthropic-1.5pt72.5%
- OpenAI+2.0pt18.6%
- Google-1.4pt5.9%
+18 mais resultados
KALSHIHow many launches will SpaceX have in September?
- Above 8-8.0pt82%
- Above 9-49.0pt22%
- Above 10-20.0pt14%
+8 mais resultados
- Volume total
POLYMARKETTesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by which date?
- December 31,47%
- June 30,41%
- February 28,27%
+4 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 996,1 mil
POLYMARKETLargest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- Anthropic+0.3pt59.6%
- SpaceX+0.5pt38.4%
- OpenAI+0.1pt2%
+9 mais resultados
- AI lab announces another Millennium Prize solution by which date?
- Which company has the best AI Agent end of September?
- When will Tesla and SpaceX merge?
- Will a new interstellar visitor be confirmed before 2027?
- Third-best AI Lab end of September?
- Third-best AI Lab end of October?
- Pro Football Championship Halftime Show: Performers
- SpaceX Starship 14th launch?
- Two SpaceX Starships dock together by which date?
- What will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit in September 2026?
Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Will the ISS still be in operation at the start of 2028??
- A Manifold Markets cota Yes em 89% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Will the ISS still be in operation at the start of 2028? é resolvido?
- Will the ISS still be in operation at the start of 2028? deverá ser resolvido em 31 de dezembro de 2027.
- Como Will the ISS still be in operation at the start of 2028? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: This market will resolve if any of the following are true: