Will the global far-right alliances abolish and defunct all prediction markets before 2040?
CriptoOne-OffPolíticaRegulamentaçãoGeopolítica13aManifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosBem calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualNo, global far-right alliances will not achieve sufficient unified power to ban prediction markets. 68.7%Líder entre 4 opções
Previsores
2
Tipo de pergunta
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Variação 7d
+18.7 pts
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 14 horas
Desatualizado1/11/26, 08:19 UTC31/12/39, 11:00 UTC
Tendências
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Resolution criteria
- This is an independent multiple-choice market where each added answer resolves independently:
- Each answer corresponding to an action, entity, or condition will resolve YES if, prior to January 1, 2040, that condition is met according to credible international reporting, official government/treaty publications, or observable market operations.
- Otherwise, it resolves NO.
- If an option specifies that all prediction markets are abolished and rendered defunct globally:
- It resolves YES only if major public prediction market platforms (including centralized and decentralized platforms such as Polymarket, Kalshi, Manifold, PredictIt, or their primary successors) are universally banned, blocked, or effectively shut down worldwide through coordinated international action, and no major legally operating or actively trading public prediction market survives.
