Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atual
Não 55%
Previsores
17
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 8 horas
Desatualizado3/04/23, 04:53 UTC3/02/27, 00:59 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
Will the first Reuters article about Manifold mention assassination markets?
Manifold MarketsWill the first BBC article about Manifold mention assassination markets?
Manifold MarketsWill NYT write an article about a scandal at CEA before end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsAtpmatch MUSO 26 Ftiaamic
Robinhood (Rothera)BTC price on Sep 11, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
KalshiBitcoin above ___ on September 9?
PolymarketRegras
Mentioning assassination markets does not need to involve the word "assassination", as long as there's a clear reference to the moral hazard and potential controversy.
- To count, the article must be substantially about Manifold Markets as a place for prediction markets.
- As in other contexts, I'll use "33% of the length is actually about Manifold" as a rough threshold, but I reserve the right to adjust if I decide that rule is inappropriate on a case-by-case basis.
- I'll not be betting in this market, of course.
Mercados abertos
ExchangeROBINHOOD (ROTHERA)Atpmatch MUSO 26 Ftiaamic
- AMIC+38.0pt78.4%
- FTIA-37.0pt21.6%
- Volume total
- € 4,6 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 4,6 mi
ROBINHOOD (ROTHERA)Atpmatch MUSO 26 Bshecalc
- CALC76.7%
- BSHE+1.0pt23.3%
- Volume total
- € 459,8 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 459,8 mil
ROBINHOOD (ROTHERA)Jessica Pegula vs Emma Navarro Quarter Finals match
- Jessica Pegula76.7%
- Emma Navarro23.3%
- Volume total
- € 123,6 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 384,9 mil
POLYMARKETBitcoin above ___ on September 9?
- 72,000+0.5pt100%
- 74,000+0.6pt100%
- 68,000+0.1pt100%
+8 mais resultados
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 11, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $72,500 or above+2.0pt99%
- $69,000 or above99%
- $69,500 or above98%
+47 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 1,1 mi
- Volume 24h
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 9, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $75,250 or above99%
- $74,750 or above99%
- $75,500 or above97%
+77 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 161,7 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 158,1 mil
- Ethereum above ___ on September 9?
- Bitcoin price at the end of 2026
- Anthropic IPO by which date?
- Bitcoin above ___ on September 10?
- How high will BTC get in September?
- Wtamatch WUSO 26 Mandcgau
- Wtamatch WUSO 26 Qzheeryb
- BNB price range on Sep 11, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- What chain will LAPTOP launch on?
- Bitcoin above ___ on September 11?
Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Will the first WSJ article about Manifold mention assassination markets??
- A Manifold Markets cota No em 55% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Will the first WSJ article about Manifold mention assassination markets? é resolvido?
- Will the first WSJ article about Manifold mention assassination markets? deverá ser resolvido em 3 de fevereiro de 2027.
- Como Will the first WSJ article about Manifold mention assassination markets? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: Mentioning assassination markets does not need to involve the word "assassination", as long as there's a clear reference to the moral hazard and potential controversy.