Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualNão 87%
Previsores
3
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 10 horas
Desatualizado16/09/26, 22:25 UTC31/12/26, 23:59 UTC
Tendências
Regras
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves to YES if, on or before December 31, 2026, the United States federal government enacts a suspension of the federal excise tax on gasoline (currently 18.4 cents per gallon) and/or diesel fuel (currently 24.4 cents per gallon) such that the tax rate is reduced to 1 cent or less for a specified period.
- To qualify for a YES resolution:
- The suspension must be signed into law (or enacted via a congressional veto override) on or before December 31, 2026.
- The suspension must apply to the federal level; state-level gas tax suspensions or holidays do not count.
- The tax rate must be reduced to $0.01 or less; a partial reduction of the tax rate does not satisfy the criteria for "suspended."
