Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atual
Sim 58.7%
Previsores
116
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
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Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 13 horas
Desatualizado15/01/24, 18:51 UTC22/02/29, 06:59 UTC
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Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
Which party will win the 2028 U.S. presidential election?
Manifold MarketsWho will win at least one state in the 2028 Democratic Party presidential primaries?
Manifold MarketsHow old will the Democratic Party's Presidential Nominee for the 2028 US Presidental Election be?
Manifold MarketsWhich party will win the 2032 Presidential Election?
KalshiWill the Democratic Party win a majority in the United States House of Representatives in the 2026 general election?
ForecastExSwedish general election: Swedish Social Democratic Party vote percent
KalshiRegras
Resolves Yes if a Democrat is elected US president in 2028.
- [Attention] Resolves 50% if an independent candidate is elected US president in 2028
- Resolves NA if the presidential election is not held in 2028.
- Resolves according to the opinion of mainstream liberal news sources like NYT, WaPo, Atlantic, etc. in case of a disputed result.
Mercados abertos
Politics
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
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- Édouard Philippe-1.0pt29.2%
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- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-1.8pt18%
- Jon Ossoff16%
- Gavin Newsom-0.4pt14%
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KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17.7%
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Will the Democratic Party win the 2028 Presidential Election??
- A Manifold Markets cota Yes em 59% em 12 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Will the Democratic Party win the 2028 Presidential Election? é resolvido?
- Will the Democratic Party win the 2028 Presidential Election? deverá ser resolvido em 22 de fevereiro de 2029.
- Como Will the Democratic Party win the 2028 Presidential Election? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: Resolves Yes if a Democrat is elected US president in 2028.