Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualSim 94.6%
Previsores
24
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 1 hora
Atrasado2/07/24, 16:47 UTC1/02/27, 04:59 UTC
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Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
Will the Average Global Temperature in December 2026 be greater than 1.2 degrees Celsius above the 20th century average?
ForecastExWill the Average Global Temperature in December 2026 be greater than 1.3 degrees Celsius above the 20th century average?
ForecastExWill the average Global Temperature in 2026 be greater than 1.2 C (2.16 F) above the 20th century average?
ForecastExWill the average Global Temperature in 2026 be greater than 1.33 C (2.39 F) above the 20th century average?
ForecastExAverage global surface air temperature anomaly in 2026 relative to the pre-industrial baseline?
FutuurWill the mean global near-surface temperature for 2023-2027 exceed 1.5℃ above the preindustrial average?
Manifold MarketsRegras
Resolve according to the "mean" average temperature reported in this webpage https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/temperature-anomaly
- resolves to 50% in case of a tie.
