A capitalização de mercado da Tesla (TSLA) vai atingir US$8,6 trilhões antes do final de 2035?
AçõesCustomTecnologiaEventos corporativosNegócios e empresas9a
Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualNão 85.4%
Previsores
14
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 21 minutos
5/09/25, 13:03 UTC30/12/35, 23:59 UTC
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Manifold MarketsRegras
This is the valuation that triggers the maximum bonus for Musk in the next 10 years (US$1.03-trillion).
- What are the odds it is reached?
- Update 2026-06-11 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The market will resolve based on total return for a TSLA shareholder (dividends reinvested), not simply Tesla's nominal market cap.
- The target is equivalent to achieving 8.6/1.23 times the current share price (buying at $392.65 today).
- Key scenarios for edge cases:
- New share issuance: Only per-share value is tracked; dilution from new shares does not count toward the $8.6T target
