Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualNão 71%
Previsores
16
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 12 horas
Desatualizado4/07/26, 14:52 UTC14/12/26, 04:59 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
Taylor Swift pregnant by which date?
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Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to YES if, on or before December 13, 2026, at 11:59 PM Eastern Time (ET), Taylor Swift, Travis Kelce, or their official representatives (such as publicist Tree Paine) publicly announce that Taylor Swift is pregnant or has given birth.
- To qualify, the announcement must be made through one of the following official channels:
- Verified personal social media accounts belonging to Taylor Swift or Travis Kelce.
- An official public statement, press release, or interview confirmed by their representatives and reported by credible media outlets (e.g., People, The Associated Press, Billboard).
- A direct, public announcement made by Taylor Swift or Travis Kelce during a live event, concert, podcast, or broadcast.
Mercados abertos
EntertainmentPOLYMARKET"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" total domestic gross by September 30?
- 950 - 960m+18.0pt69.6%
- 940 - 950m-16.5pt26.5%
- 970m++1.1pt2%
+2 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 319,8 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 98 mil
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- Jack Lowden+25.0pt67%
- Callum Turner-3.0pt21%
- Jack Barton-8.0pt20%
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- Volume total
- € 1,8 mi
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- Jack Lowden+23.4pt48%
- No Bond chosen-6.3pt17%
- Jack Barton-3.5pt9%
+21 mais resultados
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- Above 45-55.0pt18%
- Above 50-59.0pt4%
- Above 55-54.0pt2%
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- Above 4599%
- Above 5099%
- Above 5599%
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- Volume total
- € 130,6 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 45,3 mil
KALSHIBig Brother Season 28 · Winner
- Yash Patel+4.0pt27.7%
- Barrett Pfeiffer17%
- Drew Campbell+1.0pt13.4%
+14 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 4 mi
- # of views of MrBeast video on day 3?
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- Runner · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Taylor Swift: Highest daily view count (September 7, 2026 - September 13, 2026)
- Emmy Winner: Outstanding Limited or Anthology Series
- Emmy Winner: Outstanding Comedy Series
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Will Taylor Swift announce she’s pregnant by Swiftmas (Dec. 13)??
- A Manifold Markets cota No em 71% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Will Taylor Swift announce she’s pregnant by Swiftmas (Dec. 13)? é resolvido?
- Will Taylor Swift announce she’s pregnant by Swiftmas (Dec. 13)? deverá ser resolvido em 14 de dezembro de 2026.
- Como Will Taylor Swift announce she’s pregnant by Swiftmas (Dec. 13)? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: Resolution criteria